In reflecting on the Axios and Buzzfeed articles overnight my conclusion is that the Trumpers and their attorneys believe they have bigly liability exposure. By even raising this ridiculous claim before any indictments have been handed out, it communicates a consciousness of guilt that has been a constant theme of Trumper behavior. Another theme has been sheer buffoonery and incompetenceā¦and of course the emails.
The primary objective of the Transition was to figure out how to pay back Russia for its help when they got to the WH without getting caught.
Thatās what all the emails are about. Thatās what the Flynn guilty plea was about. Take a look at this list of events that happened from the end of the election into the first weeks of the administration:
ā¢ 11/8/16: Flynn op-ed on Fethullah Gulen is published in The Hill. Statement of Offense identifies that Flynn lied about having oversight, supervision and direction from officials of the Turkish government.
ā¢ 11/10/16: Obama warns Trump not to hire Flynn.
ā¢ 11/18/16: Elijah Cummingsā letter detailing that Flynn Intel Group was being paid by Kamil Alptekin (Inovo BV) to lobby for Turkish interests. Cummingsā letter questions why Flynn was allowed to receive security briefings while being in the employ of connected Turkish government interests.
- 12/1/2016 - Kushner, Flynn and Kislyak meet at Trump Tower and discuss the backchannel to Russia through secure communications to evade USIC.
ā¢ 12/7/16: Sale of Rosneft (19.5%) announced by Russian govāt. Rosneft was viewed as a tough sale with limited buyers because of US sanctions, but Russia got a sales price close to its stock market value. The Trump election eased sanctions fears. Glencore and the sovereign wealth fund of Qatar purchased the stake. Russia needed the cash to shore up budget deficits and finance its wars. Recall that the Steele Dossier identified the Rosneft sale as a big carrot for Trump, and Page admits the topic came up when he visited Moscow in July and spoke with Andrei Baranov (head of investor relations at Rosneft who is a direct report to sanctioned CEO, Igor Sechin).
ā¢ 12/8/16: Carter Page visits Moscow (2nd time) ā admits to meeting with an executive from Rosneft (likely Igor Sechin). Rosneft sale.
ā¢ 12/13/16 ā Kushner meets with Sergey Gorkov (head of VNB bank), a sanctioned bank. Meeting arranged at the suggestion of Kislyak.
- 12/15/16: Kushner, Bannon, Flynn meet UAE Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Zayed. MBZ came unannounced and Susan Rice spied on that meeting and unmasked the US participants. Meeting held at Trump Tower.
ā¢ 12/22/16 - Kushner tells Flynn to lobby Kislyak to veto or delay UN Security Council Resolution on Israel.
ā¢ 12/29/16 - Kislyak calls Flynn re: sanctions issued by Obama on Russia on 12/28. Flynn conferences with several Trump transition team members before giving Kislyak advice.
ā¢ 12/30/16 - Trump praises Putin for a restrained response (the same counsel that Flynn gave to Kislyak).
ā¢ 1/6/17 - Comey briefs Trump. Tells him about report on RU interference in US elections. Talks pee pee tape.
ā¢ 1/10/17 - Buzzfeed publishes the Steele Dossier.
ā¢ 1/11/17 ā Erik Prince travels to Seychelles to meet with UAE Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed and later with Russian head of direct investment fund (sovereign wealth fund), Kirill Dmietrev.
ā¢ 1/12/17 - Israeli press reports that USIC met Israeli intel officials and warned that Trump is compromised by Putin which may pose a security risk for Israel.
ā¢ 1/12/17 - Ignatius piece in WAPO references Flynn-Kislyak discussion(s).
ā¢ 1/15/17 - Pence tells CBS sanctions did not come up in the convo, and that he asked Flynn that question.
Priebus says the same thing to NBC.
ā¢ 1/17/17 ā Anthony Scaramucci speaks at the Davos economic conference. He meets Kirill Dmitriev (same guy Erik Prince met less than a week earlier). I believe the Mooch also made some remarks suggesting that US-Russia relationship/sanctions regime should change.
ā¢ 1/24/17 - Flynn is interviewed by the FBI and lies.
ā¢ 1/26/17 - Yates tells McGahn that Flynn is compromised, gave some testimony that they know isnāt true. That night, Trump invites Comey to dinner.
ā¢ 1/27/17 - Trump demands a loyalty oath from Comey at dinner (my guess is that Trump knew Flynn was in trouble at this dinner, not later as McGahn suggest through CNN).
ā¢ 2/9/17 - Investigators confirm that Flynn did discuss sanctions on 12/29 despite Penceās denials. Pence blames Flynn - ājust repeated what Flynn told meā. This is the first instance of the āFlynn lied to Penceā canard, but Flynn had been set up for a fall on that a few weeks earlier.
ā¢ 2/13/17 - Flynn fired/resigns.
ā¢ 2/14/17 - Trump traps Comey alone in the Oval Office and asks Comey to drop the investigation into Flynn.
ā¢ 2/16/17 - By this time, Trump and just about every senior Trump official had repeated the canard that Flynn lied to Pence.
Thereās something in those thousands of Transition emails that would address most or all of these events.